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Images, UC QuakeStudies

A photograph of Elizabeth Ackermann's office. Elizabeth Ackermann is the administrator in the Department of Civil and Natural Resources Engineering at the University of Canterbury. The photograph was taken when she was first let back in after the 22 February 2011 earthquake.

Images, UC QuakeStudies

A photograph of computers and desks from the Department of Civil and Natural Resources Engineering at the University of Canterbury. These were set up in the Sunday School room of the Avonhead Baptist Church after the 22 February 2011 earthquake.

Research papers, University of Canterbury Library

This paper presents on-going challenges in the present paradigm shift of earthquakeinduced ground motion prediction from empirical to physics-based simulation methods. The 2010-2011 Canterbury and 2016 Kaikoura earthquakes are used to illustrate the predictive potential of the different methods. On-going efforts on simulation validation and theoretical developments are then presented, as well as the demands associated with the need for explicit consideration of modelling uncertainties. Finally, discussion is also given to the tools and databases needed for the efficient utilization of simulated ground motions both in specific engineering projects as well as for near-real-time impact assessment.